CNL 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 T R5 D R6 D R7 D R8 T R9 T R10 T R11 T R12 T

Purse $100,000. Seven Furlongs. For Three-Year-Olds And Upward. Free nomination, $500 to pass the entry box and $500 additional to start. Supplementary nominations may be made at time of entry by payment of $2,000 (includes entry and starting fees). 60% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 11% to third, 6% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight: Three-Year-Olds, 122 Lbs. Older, 126 Lbs. Non-winners of $54,000 twice in 2026 allowed 2 Lbs., An open sweepstakes in 2026, allowed 4 Lbs., (Maiden, claiming and starter races not considered in allowances). Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. The race will be limited to fourteen (14) starters. Preference to start will be given to graded stakes winners (in order I-II-III) then those horses having accumulated the highest earnings in 2025-2026. Any horse excluded from running because of the aforementioned preference shall be refunded the entry fee and the supplementary nomination fee if applicable. Nominations closed July 15, 2026 with 38 nominations. Atrophy will be presented to the winning owner.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Zero Blitz ✓	1% 50-1 / 30/1	2.2%	S	6th/1w	92 +3.7	95⁸-6	96⁷	96⁸	83⁷	L2▲cls	29%	3∠
2	Suremeanttoobe ✓	8% 12-1 / 20/1	5.6%	EP	1st/1w	92 +3.4	96⁷-5	101⁴	98⁴	101¹	L3★gold	18%	LS2∠
3	Bold Diversion	1% 99-1 / 30/1	1.9%	C	8th/1w	91 +2.7	95⁸-6	96⁷	95⁹	88⁴	▲cls	—	1∠
4	Back Em Up	4% 25-1 / 12/1	5.5%	EP	5th/1w	92 +3.5	98²-3	98⁶	98⁴	84⁶	J+0.8rte→spr▲cls	33%	2∠
5	Illuminare ✓	56% 4-5 / 9/2	31.7%	P	7th/1w	94 +6.3	98²-3	103³	103²	—	▼cls	13%	★PRIME2∠
7	Bracket Buster	4% 25-1 / 5/2	16.0%	EP	2nd/3w	97 +8.6	97⁵-4	92⁹	102³	94²	L1T-5.0rte→spr▼cls	—	⚠-3.02∠
8	Crazy Mason	12% 7-1 / 3/1	17.5%	C	9th/3w	98 +9.4	103¹+2	104¹	104¹	86⁵	J+0.5rte→spr▼cls	18%	✓+3.51∠
9	Celtic Contender	5% 20-1 / 15/1	5.0%	EP	3rd/4w	93 +4.9	98²-3	104¹	97⁷	69⁸		17%	2∠
10	Verifire ✓	8% 12-1 / 7/2	14.5%	EP	4th/4w	94 +6.3	97⁵-4	101⁴	98⁴	92³	L3★goldJ-0.6	29%	⚠-1.52∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 22.8s par 23.2 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 2 HOLDS LP ⚡ 95/109 Suremeanttoobe 7 »» 96/105 Bracket Buster 9 »»» 103/94 Celtic Contender 10 »»» 90/106 Verifire 4 106/94 Back Em Up 1 96/97 Zero Blitz 5 93/103 Illuminare 3 92/104 Bold Diversion 8 »» 96/101 Crazy Mason

On the lead: 2, 7 · race sets up for closers

5 Illuminare ★ PRIME

5H 126 lbs P

56.5%

MODEL %

4-5

MODEL FAIR

+38.3

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig98 -3 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class94.5 +6.3 vs race +3.9 gap

MC10.7% fair 8-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.34

Faced92.6 -0.5 vs today

Pace EP86.0 best 93.2

Pace LP85.1 best 102.9

Energy0.53

Connections

JockTyler Gaffalioneκ 0.19was Manuel Franco · -0.2

TrnTodd Pletcherκ 0.64

J×T31 · 13% win · 35% ITM

Angles

Tyler Gaffalione / Todd Pletcher 18% -17% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	9	5	56%	102.9
2026	3	2	67%	102.9
2025	1	0	0%	84.3
CNL	1	1	100%	96.5
Dirt	9	5	56%	102.9
Sprint	9	5	56%	102.9
Wet	1	0	0%	84.3

WORKS 07-25 SAR 4 Furlongs 50.25 B 38 07-17 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:03.00 B 44 07-09 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:02.83 B 50 06-29 SAR 4 Furlongs :52.45 B 22 05-30 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.77 B 57 05-22 SAR 4 Furlongs 50.23 B 51

SIRECity Of Light 86 93%ile turf 15%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06 50d	SAR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	95	5	6	6.0	F	—	—	—	103	110	94	10.87	Manuel Franco
2026-04-17 35d	KEE	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	93	1	6	0.0	F	82	93	90	99	101	92	1.96	Flavien Prat
2026-03-13 244d·4.9×	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	89	1	5	0.0	F	93	83	73	96	96	91	2.7	Rajiv Maragh
2025-07-12 196d·3.9×	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	AOC	92	9	9	33.2	F	91	95	102	84	72	93	7.4	Luis Saez
2024-12-28 49d	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	93	8	10	13.2	F	93	99	103	94	94	96	5.4	Luis Saez
2024-11-09 49d	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	1	6	0.0		90	nan	72	98	105	95	1.4	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2024-09-21 70d	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	4	6	4.5	F	94	72	56	95	96	94	1.44	Luis Saez
2024-07-13 36d	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	91	1	6	0.0	F	94	99	99	97	103	92	1.05	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2024-06-07	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	1	10	0.0	F	86	96	113	98	103	87	4.6	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

8 Crazy Mason

5H 122 lbs C

12.3%

MODEL %

7-1

MODEL FAIR

-12.7

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig103 +2 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 103 vs par 101

Class97.6 +9.4 vs race +5.5 gap

MC28.5% fair 5-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced95.6 +2.5 vs today

Pace EP83.9 best 96.2

Pace LP79.9 best 100.5

Energy0.50

Connections

JockJavier Castellanoκ 0.25was Junior Alvarado · +0.5

TrnGregory Saccoκ 0.11

J×T11 · 18% win · 36% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	21	5	4	6	24%	104.5
2026	3	0	1	1	0%	104.5
2025	8	3	1	3	38%	104.5
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	21	5	4	6	24%	104.5
Sprint	13	4	4	3	31%	104.1
Wet	2	0	0	2	0%	104.1

WORKS 07-25 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 46 07-20 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 41 07-12 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 45 06-20 DEL 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 77 06-13 DEL 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 53 06-06 DEL 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 65

SIRECoal Front 85 88%ile turf 16%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28 57d	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	97	6	10	5.2	F	79	80	93	104	112	98	8.38	Junior Alvarado
2026-05-02 28d	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	97	3	10	5.2	F	83	88	97	101	109	97	28.0	Manuel Franco
2026-04-04 119d·2.4×	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	95	2	6	2.8	F	87	85	49	104	111	97	2.49	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-12-06 70d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	95	3	6	4.5	F	96	82	60	104	118	96	3.01	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-09-27 35d	BAQ	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	94	2	8	1.5	F	86	88	100	100	103	96	3.35	Manuel Franco
2025-08-23 28d	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	95	3	10	1.8	F	70	101	91	100	104	95	16.0	Manuel Franco
2025-07-26 49d	DMR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	94	6	9	5.8	F	92	80	72	98	97	96	6.1	Christopher Elliott
2025-06-07 63d	SAR	6.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	G3	95	3	7	4.0	F	81	89	101	104	116	95	6.3	Manuel Franco
2025-04-05 43d	AQU	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	94	1	7	0.0	F	73	90	83	101	110	93	5.3	Manuel Franco
2025-02-21	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	1	5	0.0	S	91	83	70	98	98	92	1.95	Eric Cancel

10 Verifire

4C 122 lbs EP

8.3%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-13.9

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig97 -4 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class94.5 +6.3 vs race +2.6 gap

MC7.5% fair 12-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced92.5 -0.6 vs today

Pace EP80.6 best 90.3

Pace LP88.7 best 106.1

Energy0.54

Connections

JockManuel Francoκ 0.21was Irad Ortiz, Jr. · -0.6

TrnBrad Coxκ 0.69

J×T258 · 29% win · 62% ITM

Angles

Manuel Franco / Brad Cox 29% -2% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	6	4	1	67%	101.2
2026	2	1	1	50%	98.5
2025	4	3	0	75%	101.2
CNL	1	1	0	100%	98.5
Dirt	6	4	1	67%	101.2
Sprint	6	4	1	67%	101.2
Wet	1	0	1	0%	96.7

WORKS 07-25 CD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 55 07-18 CD 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 41 07-09 CD Four Furlongs 51.40 b 29 06-11 CD 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 49 06-06 CD 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 63 ★05-11 PAY 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 B G 78

SIREAuthentic 85 89%ile turf 14%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-17 26d	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	94	1	9	0.0	F	90	95	93	98	104	93	1.59	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-05-22 272d·4.9×	CD	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	AOC	93	3	5	4.0		84	88	102	97	94	92	2.18	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-08-23 55d	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	94	8	8	48.0	F	78	76	97	83	62	95	3.2	Flavien Prat
2025-06-29 44d	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	1	11	0.0	F	87	92	71	101	115	91	2.59	Flavien Prat
2025-05-16 62d	PIM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	1	6	0.0	S	66	93	106	100	97	89	0.05	Flavien Prat
2025-03-15	CNL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	1	8	0.0	F	93	78	69	98	104	84	2.6	Flavien Prat

2 Suremeanttoobe LONGSHOT

4C 122 lbs EP

8.0%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

+3.2

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig96 -5 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class91.6 +3.4 vs race +4.8 gap

MC8.0% fair 12-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced89.9 -3.2 vs today

Pace EP82.8 best 95.0

Pace LP88.9 best 109.3

Energy0.52

Connections

JockMychel Sanchezκ 0.18was Samuel Marin · -0.4

TrnMichael Trombettaκ 0.3

J×T294 · 18% win · 47% ITM

Angles

Mychel Sanchez / Michael Trombetta 17% -24% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	15	5	3	2	33%	100.8
2026	6	4	0	1	67%	100.8
2025	9	1	3	1	11%	91.7
CNL	4	1	0	1	25%	98.5
Dirt	13	5	2	2	38%	100.8
Sprint	15	5	3	2	33%	100.8
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	94.1

WORKS 07-26 LRL 3 Furlongs :37.80 B 32 07-19 LRL 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 35 ★06-08 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 H 78 ◆Maclean'S Rook·106 05-29 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 67 05-18 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 65 05-10 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 55

SIREComplexity 84 87%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-06 22d	CNL	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	1	5	0.0	F	95	96	107	98	107	91	8.5	Samuel Marin
2026-06-14 64d·2.3×	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	1	8	0.0	S	80	89	109	98	95	90	2.6	Mychel Sanchez
2026-04-11 35d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	3	9	0.5		93	94	92	95	88	89	3.1	Mychel Sanchez
2026-03-07 22d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Stk	90	4	4	6.8		66	84	95	94	82	89	4.6	J.G. Torrealba
2026-02-13 28d	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	88	1	6	0.0	S	88	nan	68	101	101	89	2.0	J.G. Torrealba
2026-01-16 118d·4.2×	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	87	1	8	0.0	F	82	nan	82	99	94	88	17.0	J.G. Torrealba
2025-09-20 16d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	88	4	4	4.5		76	84	89	92	92	88	3.4	J.G. Torrealba
2025-09-04 27d	CNL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	4	5	7.2	F	92	88	93	89	89	87	14.6	Mychel Sanchez
2025-08-08 49d	CNL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	88	9	11	4.8	S	94	87	85	82	78	87	7.3	Mychel Sanchez
2025-06-20	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	82	1	6	0.0	F	99	87	52	90	90	86	0.4	Mychel Sanchez

9 Celtic Contender

5H 122 lbs EP

4.6%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.7

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig98 -3 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class93.1 +4.9 vs race +5.4 gap

MC11.0% fair 8-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced92.3 -0.8 vs today

Pace EP88.0 best 103.1

Pace LP79.0 best 93.9

Energy0.53

Connections

JockForest Boyceκ 0.19

TrnHamilton Smithκ 0.19

J×T18 · 17% win · 56% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Forest Boyce / Hamilton Smith 10% -11%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	20	6	4	6	30%	103.5
2026	3	1	1	0	33%	103.5
2025	5	0	2	3	0%	99.2
CNL	3	0	0	2	0%	97.8
Dirt	19	6	4	6	32%	103.5
Sprint	17	5	4	6	29%	103.5
Wet	3	0	1	1	0%	99.2

WORKS 07-26 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 B 92 07-19 LRL 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 61 07-11 LRL Four Furlongs 48.80 b 62 ★06-19 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 67 06-12 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 48 ★05-09 LRL 4 Furlongs :46.80 B 83

SIREIrish War Cry 83 80%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 42d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	2	6	5.5	S	75	72	63	97	88	93	2.0	Forest Boyce
2026-05-16 49d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	92	4	7	3.8	F	90	80	71	97	92	92	2.9	Forest Boyce
2026-03-28 245d·5.8×	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	91	1	4	0.0	S	102	nan	83	104	104	92	2.0	Forest Boyce
2025-07-26 28d	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	3	8	4.5	F	103	97	94	97	99	93	8.5	Victor Carrasco
2025-06-28 42d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	2	4	1.0		94	80	82	96	97	92	2.0	Victor Carrasco
2025-05-17 64d	PIM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	94	3	4	7.8	S	96	95	84	95	93	93	6.7	Victor Carrasco
2025-03-14 27d	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	3	3	3.0	F	92	90	89	98	104	93	2.3	Victor Carrasco
2025-02-15 56d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Stk	91	2	6	5.5		98	86	89	99	102	92	4.3	Victor Carrasco
2024-12-21 21d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	1	7	0.0		72	99	102	96	97	92	1.2	Victor Carrasco
2024-11-30	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	2	9	2.0	F	84	82	87	96	106	92	2.8	Victor Carrasco

4 Back Em Up

4G 122 lbs EP

4.1%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.6

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig98 -3 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class91.7 +3.5 vs race +6.4 gap

MC13.5% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced91.6 -1.5 vs today

Pace EP88.2 best 105.6

Pace LP77.0 best 93.6

Energy0.53

Connections

JockPaco Lopezκ 0.23was Samy Camacho · +0.8

TrnBobby Dibonaκ 0.39

J×T15 · 33% win · 67% ITM

Angles

Paco Lopez / Bobby Dibona 29% +12% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	21	6	5	4	29%	102.1
2026	6	1	3	0	17%	102.1
2025	11	4	1	2	36%	96.4
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	19	6	5	3	32%	102.1
Sprint	18	5	4	4	28%	98.3
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 GP 4 Furlongs :48.03 B 69 07-18 GP 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 58 06-27 GP 4 Furlongs :48.31 B 61 05-30 GP 4 Furlongs :49.84 B 46 ★05-22 GP 5 Furlongs :59.87 B 85 ★04-17 GP 4 Furlongs :46.76 B 83

SIRETake Charge Indy 83 81%ile turf 11%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 27d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	1	7	0.0	S	82	68	87	98	103	91	1.3	Samy Camacho
2026-06-06 37d	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	2	7	0.1	F	106	93	36	98	103	90	5.1	Miguel Vasquez
2026-04-30 33d	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	8	8	38.5	S	92	89	94	81	61	92	7.36	Luis Saez
2026-03-28 42d	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	2	9	0.5	F	100	93	85	98	108	90	11.1	Miguel Vasquez
2026-02-14 21d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	7	7	21.8	S	85	78	74	95	93	92	1.9	Miguel Vasquez
2026-01-24 29d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	93	2	8	4.8		79	84	104	102	106	91	26.7	Miguel Vasquez
2025-12-26 13d	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	1	8	0.0		94	80	48	96	106	90	3.2	Miguel Vasquez
2025-12-13 20d	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	89	1	4	0.0		94	83	75	96	108	90	0.9	Miguel Vasquez
2025-11-23 30d	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	3	6	3.2	F	86	87	102	93	93	89	0.7	Miguel Vasquez
2025-10-24	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	1	5	0.0		98	nan	90	96	102	88	0.5	Miguel Vasquez

7 Bracket Buster

4C 122 lbs EP

4.1%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-24.5

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig97 -4 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 102 vs par 101

Class96.8 +8.6 vs race -0.2 gap

MC5.3% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.19

Faced94.0 +0.9 vs today

Pace EP82.5 best 96.2

Pace LP86.1 best 105.3

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJohn Velazquezκ 0.24

TrnV H Oliverκ 0.0was Victoria Oliver · -5.0

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	11	3	2	1	27%	104.2
2026	0	0	0	0	—	—
2025	7	2	2	0	29%	104.2
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	11	3	2	1	27%	104.2
Sprint	2	0	0	1	0%	91.9
Wet	2	1	0	0	50%	103.2

WORKS 07-28 KEE 4 Furlongs :47.40 B 66 07-21 KEE 4 Furlongs :47.20 B 72 07-14 KEE Five Furlongs 1:01.60 b 67 07-07 KEE Four Furlongs 48.20 b 62

SIREVekoma 87 95%ile turf 19%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-10-25 27d	KEE	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	95	4	11	3.2	F	84	92	105	102	112	96	3.64	John Velazquez
2025-09-28 36d	RP	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	92	1	6	0.0		84	nan	78	102	108	94	0.4	Luis Saez
2025-08-23 35d	SAR	10.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	95	2	5	10.0	F	68	81	76	102	114	94	17.8	Luis Saez
2025-07-19 35d	MTH	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	95	4	8	8.0	F	96	92	90	101	112	93	27.2	John Velazquez
2025-06-14 42d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Stk	92	1	6	0.0		88	93	99	103	106	92	3.8	Axel Concepcion
2025-05-03 21d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	AOC	91	7	9	12.2	F	99	96	97	99	96	93	10.82	Manuel Franco
2025-04-12 167d·4.8×	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	91	2	7	2.0	F	72	99	88	104	108	89	25.44	Manuel Franco
2024-10-27 18d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	90	5	9	9.0	F	82	86	90	92	90	88	18.62	Axel Concepcion
2024-10-09 27d	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	1	12	0.0	F	94	86	92	97	98	85	33.71	John Velazquez
2024-09-12	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	7	11	10.5	F	88	89	110	87	77	84	6.42	Brian Hernandez, Jr.

1 Zero Blitz

4G 122 lbs S

1.4%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.8

EDGE vs ML

30/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig95 -6 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class91.9 +3.7 vs race +3.1 gap

MC8.1% fair 12-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.38

Faced89.3 -3.8 vs today

Pace EP80.6 best 95.5

Pace LP85.0 best 96.8

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJorge Ruizκ 0.21

TrnJoanne Shankleκ 0.24

J×T7 · 29% win · 86% ITM

Angles

2nd off layoff 13% -27% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Joanne Shankle: 2nd off layoff 6% -66%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	12	7	1	3	58%	96.1
2026	1	1	0	0	100%	96.1
2025	11	6	1	3	55%	95.9
CNL	4	1	1	2	25%	96.1
Dirt	12	7	1	3	58%	96.1
Sprint	12	7	1	3	58%	96.1
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 52 07-05 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 56 ★06-28 LRL 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 71 06-21 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 63 06-12 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 52 06-04 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 57

SIREJimmy Creed 83 77%ile turf 15%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-13 226d·6.8×	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	90	1	6	0.0	F	69	84	97	96	102	92	2.1	Jorge Ruiz
2025-11-29 34d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	90	1	9	0.0	F	81	95	94	96	94	91	12.3	J.G. Torrealba
2025-10-26 51d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	1	8	0.0	F	76	nan	78	91	90	91	2.2	Tais Lyapustina
2025-09-05 15d	CNL	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	2	6	0.2	F	83	nan	79	94	95	90	6.4	Tais Lyapustina
2025-08-21 12d	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	90	3	7	1.5	F	96	nan	92	92	96	90	11.0	Tais Lyapustina
2025-08-09 30d	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	91	3	9	4.5	F	84	94	82	94	97	90	31.3	Tais Lyapustina
2025-07-10 12d	DEL	6.0f	dirt	Good	Str Alw	89	4	5	2.0	S	72	90	79	93	94	89	10.2	Tais Lyapustina
2025-06-28 33d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	1	5	0.0		90	87	87	92	93	87	3.9	Tais Lyapustina
2025-05-26 38d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	1	6	0.0	F	85	81	91	92	91	85	4.3	Tais Lyapustina
2025-04-18	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	1	8	0.0		89	92	91	91	88	82	12.1	Arnaldo Bocachica

3 Bold Diversion

4G 122 lbs C

0.8%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.4

EDGE vs ML

30/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig95 -6 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class90.9 +2.7 vs race +4.5 gap

MC7.3% fair 12-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced90.9 -2.2 vs today

Pace EP82.7 best 92.2

Pace LP78.7 best 103.8

Energy0.51

Connections

JockSamuel Marinκ 0.22was Forest Boyce · +0.3

TrnJoanne Shankleκ 0.24

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	25	7	5	4	28%	96.4
2026	7	2	2	0	29%	96.4
2025	15	5	3	3	33%	95.9
CNL	3	0	1	1	0%	94.8
Dirt	25	7	5	4	28%	96.4
Sprint	21	6	5	4	29%	96.0
Wet	1	0	1	0	0%	89.9

WORKS 07-26 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 52 07-05 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 56 06-13 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 56 ★05-15 LRL 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 72 05-09 LRL 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 62 05-03 LRL 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 42

SIREBlofeld 85 88%ile turf 7%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-13 24d	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	90	2	6	1.8	F	75	87	100	95	100	91	2.7	Forest Boyce
2026-06-19 21d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	1	7	0.0		83	nan	78	94	90	90	6.9	Forest Boyce
2026-05-29 9d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	5	7	4.5	F	87	89	64	93	94	90	7.0	Raul Mena
2026-05-20 46d·2.2×	DEL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	92	2	4	0.8	S	92	66	44	95	98	90	5.1	Raul Mena
2026-04-04 77d·3.7×	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	5	5	7.2		83	90	104	96	96	90	26.8	Angel Cruz
2026-01-17 8d	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	89	4	7	9.8	S	89	80	72	96	99	91	22.3	Tais Lyapustina
2026-01-09 20d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	1	6	0.0	S	77	81	82	93	85	90	2.0	Tais Lyapustina
2025-12-20 21d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	3	5	9.2		88	84	84	94	90	91	14.9	Tais Lyapustina
2025-11-29 22d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	90	3	9	0.8	F	79	84	84	95	93	90	12.7	Tais Lyapustina
2025-11-07	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	89	1	9	0.0		87	nan	73	94	90	90	2.0	Tais Lyapustina