WO 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 S R2 S R3 T R4 S R5 T R6 S R7 S R8 T R9 S R10 S

Purse $57,000. Six Furlongs. (All Weather Track) (Includes $8,000 – State Bred) (Includes $8,800 – Other Sources) (Plus $3,240 – Other Sources). For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2026 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $23,500, allowed 2 Lbs. (Races Where Entered For $15,000 Or Less Not Considered For Allowances).

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Kimberlina ✓	4% 25-1 / 6/1	8.6%	S	5th/1w	83 +0.4	83⁴+1	82⁶	73⁶	80⁵	L3J+1.5T→S	19%	✓+1.61∠
2	Frac Is the Judge ✓	28% 5-2 / 7/2	22.1%	S	6th/1w	80 -2.8	86²+4	88¹	80¹	84³		18%	✓+4.5
3	Ookpik ✓	6% 15-1 / 15/1	5.3%	EP	1st/1w	76 -6.5	82⁵+0	81⁷	74⁵	96¹		12%	1∠
4	Campus Queen ✓	5% 20-1 / 5/2	15.8%	S	7th/1w	81 -1.6	85³+3	86³	70⁷	96¹	★goldJ+0.7T→Srte→spr▼cls	11%	✓+1.52∠
5	Skydigger ✓	40% 3-2 / 9/2	24.7%	EP	2nd/3w	80 -2.4	81⁷-1	88¹	79³	79⁶	★gold▲cls▲slo-close	—	✓+1.6★PRIME
6	You Be the Judge ✓	13% 7-1 / 3/1	17.4%	S	4th/2w	85 +2.3	82⁵+0	83⁵	80¹	83⁴		0%	1∠
7	Got a Complex ✓	4% 20-1 / 10/1	6.1%	EP	3rd/4w	82 -0.6	87¹+5	85⁴	76⁴	70⁷	T→S	20%

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 3 HOLDS 95/97 Ookpik 5 »» 93/89 Skydigger 7 »»» 97/99 Got a Complex 6 » 96/94 You Be the Judge 1 103/97 Kimberlina 2 LP 95/107 Frac Is the Judge 4 89/104 Campus Queen

On the lead: 3, 5, 7 · race sets up for closers

5 Skydigger ★ PRIME

3F 122 lbs L EP

39.8%

MODEL %

3-2

MODEL FAIR

+21.6

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig81 -1 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class80.5 -2.4 vs race +0.9 gap

MC5.2% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced81.7 +0.4 vs today

Pace EP81.4 best 92.6

Pace LP81.9 best 89.2

Energy0.53

Connections

JockRomero Maraghκ 0.02

TrnRobert Tillerκ 0.19

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	1	1	20%	88.1
2026	3	1	1	0	33%	84.5
2025	2	0	0	1	0%	88.1
WO	5	1	1	1	20%	88.1
Synthetic	5	1	1	1	20%	88.1
Sprint	4	1	1	1	25%	88.1
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★06-04 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 B 79 05-27 WO 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 48 04-26 WO 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 54 04-19 WO 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 50 04-11 WO 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 64 04-04 WO 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 62

SIREMaxfield 88 96%ile turf 12%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 21d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn	79	1	9	0.0	S	70	86	88	79	72	79	1.7	Romero Maragh
2026-06-13 35d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	84	11	12	19.8		77	nan	89	74	61	82	41.35	Xarel Forde
2026-05-09 279d·8.0×	WO	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn	81	2	6	3.8		93	83	70	84	78	82	0.75	Fraser Aebly
2025-08-03 28d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	5	8	11.0	S	93	85	82	84	74	86	4.2	Rafael Hernandez
2025-07-06	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	3	8	0.2		79	nan	86	88	78	82	3.1	Pietro Moran

2 Frac Is the Judge THIN DATA

3F 120 lbs L S

28.3%

MODEL %

5-2

MODEL FAIR

+6.1

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 +4 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 84 vs par 82

Class80.1 -2.8 vs race +5.9 gap

MC16.9% fair 5-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced80.4 -0.9 vs today

Pace EP85.5 best 94.9

Pace LP84.3 best 107.3

Energy0.52

Connections

JockPietro Moranκ 0.03

TrnPatrick Dixonκ -0.04

J×T17 · 18% win · 53% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	2	1	50%	87.5
2026	2	1	50%	87.5
2025	0	0	—	—
WO	2	1	50%	87.5
Synthetic	2	1	50%	87.5
Sprint	2	1	50%	87.5
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 WO 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 52 07-19 WO 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 60 07-10 WO 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 43 07-03 WO 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 42 05-29 WO 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 B 55 05-02 WO 5 Furlongs 1:03.80 B G 39

SIREFrac Daddy 80 37%ile turf 15%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-05 28d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	83	7	8	11.5	F	95	90	74	80	66	81	3.25	Pietro Moran
2026-05-08	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	1	6	0.0		92	91	107	88	80	76	6.9	Pietro Moran

6 You Be the Judge

5M 121 lbs L S

13.1%

MODEL %

7-1

MODEL FAIR

-11.9

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig82 0 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class85.2 +2.3 vs race -2.7 gap

MC12.2% fair 7-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced83.7 +2.4 vs today

Pace EP84.2 best 96.1

Pace LP84.6 best 93.6

Energy0.53

Connections

JockJose Camposκ 0.09

TrnSteven Owensκ 0.18

J×T11 · 0% win · 55% ITM

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	23	1	3	4	4%	88.0
2026	5	0	1	0	0%	81.7
2025	7	0	2	3	0%	88.0
WO	20	1	2	4	5%	86.1
Synthetic	18	1	2	3	6%	86.1
Sprint	22	1	3	4	5%	88.0
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 WO 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 56 06-19 WO 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 55 06-07 WO 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 48 04-18 WO 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 69 04-11 WO 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 49 03-29 GP 4 Furlongs :48.72 B 48

SIREJimmy Creed 83 77%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-09 14d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	81	2	8	0.5		73	92	94	80	75	85	2.9	Jose Campos
2026-06-25 40d	WO	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	80	5	9	5.0		86	77	85	74	65	86	2.9	Jose Campos
2026-05-16 13d	WO	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	5	6	6.8		96	91	90	79	71	86	2.6	Ryan Munger
2026-05-03 44d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	86	6	7	7.5	F	90	84	82	81	78	86	28.35	Xarel Forde
2026-03-20 174d·4.6×	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	87	7	8	8.0	F	88	nan	86	82	78	87	7.2	Luis Saez
2025-09-27 49d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	85	3	7	1.2		87	78	82	83	82	87	4.45	Fraser Aebly
2025-08-09 14d	WO	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	3	9	4.2		74	104	112	82	85	86	25.4	Xarel Forde
2025-07-26 27d	WO	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	86	6	7	10.2		91	85	85	82	80	86	9.25	Ryan Munger
2025-06-29 38d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	83	2	7	0.5	S	108	87	80	86	89	86	10.55	Ryan Munger
2025-05-22	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	3	6	6.2		88	89	89	86	83	87	11.9	Ryan Munger

3 Ookpik

5M 121 lbs L EP

5.8%

MODEL %

15-1

MODEL FAIR

-0.5

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig82 0 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class76.4 -6.5 vs race +5.3 gap

MC11.5% fair 8-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced78.2 -3.1 vs today

Pace EP83.4 best 95.4

Pace LP87.9 best 97.0

Energy0.54

Connections

JockJuan Crawfordκ 0.06

TrnBeverley Chubbκ -0.1

J×T182 · 12% win · 32% ITM

Angles

Juan Crawford / Beverley Chubb 10% -10%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	1	20%	80.8
2026	3	1	1	33%	79.1
2025	2	0	0	0%	80.8
WO	5	1	1	20%	80.8
Synthetic	5	1	1	20%	80.8
Sprint	5	1	1	20%	80.8
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 06-11 WO 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 59 05-17 WO 3 Furlongs :38.00 B 30 ★05-12 WO 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 B 63 ★05-05 WO 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 B 70 ★04-28 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 B 76 04-22 WO 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 52

SIREFrac Daddy 80 37%ile turf 15%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10 20d	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	82	4	4	15.2	S	95	91	97	74	59	77	4.0	Juan Crawford
2026-06-20 29d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	1	7	0.0		77	85	89	79	65	75	4.85	Juan Crawford
2026-05-22 202d·7.0×	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	3	10	4.8	S	77	96	95	79	63	73	10.2	Juan Crawford
2025-11-01 22d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn	78	7	8	18.5		95	97	96	72	56	75	14.1	Juan Crawford
2025-10-10	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn	79	7	7	10.8		83	86	86	81	71	78	5.45	Juan Crawford

4 Campus Queen

3F 122 lbs L S

4.7%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-23.9

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 +3 vs par

Needs +3~25% run that

Class81.3 -1.6 vs race +3.9 gap

MC12.7% fair 7-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced85.2 +3.9 vs today

Pace EP77.8 best 89.1

Pace LP87.1 best 103.5

Energy0.53

Connections

JockEmma-Jayne Wilsonκ 0.08was Da-Sean Gaskin · +0.7

TrnSteven Chircopκ 0.09

J×T46 · 11% win · 24% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Emma-Jayne Wilson / Steven Chircop 14% -3%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	25%	85.6
2026	4	1	25%	85.6
2025	0	0	—	—
WO	3	1	33%	85.6
Synthetic	2	1	50%	85.6
Sprint	3	1	33%	85.6
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-19 WO 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 65 06-06 WO 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 65 05-08 WO 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 51 04-24 WO 4 Furlongs :50.20 H 38 04-17 WO 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 62 04-10 WO 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 52

SIREMendelssohn 83 80%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20 7d	WO	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	87	9	9	19.8	F	89	94	104	70	63	83	49.15	Da-Sean Gaskin
2026-06-13 28d	WO	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	87	8	10	12.0	F	84	nan	78	81	70	83	13.25	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2026-05-16 78d·2.8×	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	1	10	0.0		65	72	98	86	82	76	12.8	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2026-02-27	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn	84	4	6	18.8		66	91	90	85	79	84	13.9	Javier Castellano

7 Got a Complex

4F 123 lbs L 1 EP

4.3%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.8

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 +5 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class82.3 -0.6 vs race +4.7 gap

MC25.7% fair 3-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced81.9 +0.6 vs today

Pace EP83.6 best 96.6

Pace LP80.3 best 99.0

Energy0.55

Connections

JockJodeien Andersonκ -0.04

TrnDebra Rombisκ 0.09

J×T5 · 20% win · 40% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	2	12%	85.2
2026	4	1	1	25%	84.7
2025	4	0	1	0%	85.2
WO	4	1	1	25%	84.7
Synthetic	5	1	2	20%	85.2
Sprint	8	1	2	12%	85.2
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-20 WO 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 42 07-12 WO 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 32 06-12 WO 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 44 05-03 WO 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 68 04-12 WO 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 B 76 ◆Sailor'S Passion·90 03-07 TP 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 64

SIREComplexity 84 87%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-19 26d	WO	5.0f	turf	Good	Clm	82	6	6	4.2	F	76	nan	64	76	56	82	6.4	Jodeien Anderson
2026-05-24 15d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	82	3	6	4.5	F	97	76	73	82	68	81	6.15	Jodeien Anderson
2026-05-09 20d	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	6	6	8.5	S	75	89	99	82	70	81	11.25	Jodeien Anderson
2026-04-19 188d·7.2×	WO	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn	79	1	5	0.0	F	93	100	71	85	74	80	2.3	Jodeien Anderson
2025-10-13 21d	PID	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	4	6	10.0	S	89	93	95	80	68	80	9.8	Israel Rodriguez
2025-09-22 38d	PID	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	81	3	8	5.0		75	88	86	85	77	79	8.4	Israel Rodriguez
2025-08-15 37d	CNL	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	82	7	7	25.5	F	105	86	42	72	48	82	2.6	Ben Curtis
2025-07-09	CNL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	10	10	10.8	F	84	81	88	78	66	85	2.9	Ben Curtis

1 Kimberlina

5M 123 lbs L S

4.1%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-10.2

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig83 +1 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class83.3 +0.4 vs race -0.4 gap

MC15.8% fair 5-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced82.5 +1.2 vs today

Pace EP84.9 best 103.4

Pace LP81.1 best 97.2

Energy0.53

Connections

JockSahin Civaciκ 0.17was Romero Maragh · +1.5

TrnSteve Attardκ 0.15

J×T16 · 19% win · 75% ITM

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	20	1	2	3	5%	81.6
2026	2	0	0	1	0%	81.2
2025	14	1	2	2	7%	81.6
WO	14	1	2	3	7%	81.6
Synthetic	15	1	1	2	7%	81.6
Sprint	20	1	2	3	5%	81.6
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-20 WO 3 Furlongs :35.40 B 54 06-11 WO 3 Furlongs :36.40 B 42 05-19 WO 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 52 ★05-12 WO 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 61 ★05-05 WO 3 Furlongs :37.20 B 37

SIREAstern (Aus) 82 66%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-19 21d	WO	5.0f	turf	Good	Clm	82	3	6	1.2	F	83	65	77	73	60	83	5.4	Romero Maragh
2026-05-29 167d·8.0×	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	82	6	9	4.2	F	87	69	65	81	72	82	7.9	Pietro Moran
2025-12-13 20d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	81	2	6	0.5		86	80	78	82	77	81	19.95	Pietro Moran
2025-11-23 22d	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	83	6	6	10.2	F	80	88	92	73	62	82	8.85	Pietro Moran
2025-11-01 20d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	6	9	6.2		103	89	97	78	74	81	19.4	Leo Salles
2025-10-12 22d	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	3	7	0.5		92	100	93	78	76	80	15.8	Sahin Civaci
2025-09-20 21d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	82	5	6	3.8	S	80	86	92	75	66	79	9.05	Pietro Moran
2025-08-30 21d	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	1	10	0.0		84	79	61	82	80	78	4.85	Sahin Civaci
2025-08-09 22d	WO	5.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	78	2	7	0.8	S	87	101	91	74	72	78	2.6	Pietro Moran
2025-07-18	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	6	8	5.0	S	98	85	59	73	67	78	3.35	Pietro Moran