WO 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 S R2 S R3 T R4 S R5 T R6 S R7 S R8 T R9 S R10 S

WO 2026-08-01 One And One Sixteenth Miles ALL WEATHER TRACK

strength

+2.2 salty

win par

fig to beat

SPEED DUEL

shape

closers favored

FAST

early pace

1st¼ 23.9s / par 24.4

BALANCED

field

figs 86.1–93.3

Purse $175,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. (All Weather Track) (Plus $35,000 – State Bred). For Three-Year-Olds And Upward. By subscription of $175 each which shall accompany the nomination and an additional $875 when making entry, and an additional $875 to start. The purse to be divided: 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, 2% to fifth, 1% to sixth, 1% to seventh, 1% to eighth. Weight: Three-Year-Olds 123 Lbs.; Older 126 Lbs. Non-Winners of a Sweepstakes of $55,000 At A Mile Or Over twice in 2026, allowed 2 Lbs.; Non-Winners Of a Sweepstakes of $55,000 At A Mile Or Over once in 2026 allowed 3 Lbs.; Of a race other than maiden, claiming or restricted allowance At A Mile Or Over in 2026 allowed 4 Lbs. (No Canadian Bred Allowance) (Note: Grades as recognized by the International Cataloguing Standards Committee) Final entries to be made through the entry box at the closing time then in effect for overnight events. A supplemental nomination may be made no later than the time of final entry, by a non-refundable entry fee of $2,625 and an additional $875 to start. *Plus up to $36,200 Ontario Sired/Ontario Bred Breeder Awards. *ALL HORSES WILL BE SUBJECT TO ALCOHOL AND GAMING COMMISSION OF ONTARIO OUT OF COMPETITION TESTING IN ACCORDANCE WITH RULE 39 OF THE RULES OF THOROUGHBRED RACING.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Sedburys Ghost ✓	4% 25-1 / 12/1	5.1%	S	6th/1w	89 +1.6	88⁷-6	90⁸	90⁵	90³	★goldJ-0.8	0%	⚠-1.51∠
2	Runaway Again ✓	24% 3-1 / 5/2	23.0%	P	5th/1w	90 +3.3	93¹-1	97²	93²	88⁴	L3★gold	22%	✓+5.12∠
3	Rapid Test ✓	6% 15-1 / 8/1	7.4%	S	7th/1w	89 +2.2	91³-3	92⁶	96¹	96¹	J+1.3T→Sspr→rte	—	✓+1.61∠
4	War Court ✓	5% 20-1 / 15/1	5.0%	P	8th/1w	89 +1.6	88⁷-6	93³	91⁴	74⁹	L2T→Sspr→rte	31%	4∠
5	Mansetti ✓	3% 30-1 / 6/1	8.0%	EP	3rd/2w	90 +2.5	90⁴-4	93³	88⁹	91²	L1spr→rte	21%	4∠
6	Notorious Gangster ✓	4% 25-1 / 7/2	11.9%	S	9th/1w	90 +2.8	92²-2	92⁶	90⁵	83⁶	L3★gold	27%	2∠
7	Twin City ✓	5% 20-1 / 20/1	4.4%	P	4th/2w	87 +0.1	86⁹-8	93³	90⁵	86⁵	L3J-0.5T→Sspr→rte	—	⚠-1.4LS2∠
8	Lucky Guest ✓	12% 8-1 / 10/1	8.8%	EP	2nd/4w	90 +2.5	89⁶-5	90⁸	90⁵	77⁸	★gold	17%	✓+1.22∠
9	Paramount Prince ✓	37% 9-5 / 3/1	26.5%	E	1st/4w	89 +1.9	90⁴-4	99¹	92³	80⁷		21%	★PRIME1∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 23.9s par 24.4 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 9 »»» 87/101 Paramount Prince 8 »»» 98/87 Lucky Guest 5 LP » 102/120 Mansetti 7 » 95/107 Twin City 2 93/116 Runaway Again 1 96/97 Sedburys Ghost 3 96/117 Rapid Test 4 86/102 War Court 6 92/95 Notorious Gangster

On the lead: 9, 8 · race sets up for closers

9 Paramount Prince ★ PRIME

6G 122 lbs L E

37.1%

MODEL %

9-5

MODEL FAIR

+12.1

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -4 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class89.0 +1.9 vs race +1.4 gap

MC12.2% fair 7-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced89.3 0.0 vs today

Pace EP83.2 best 87.5

Pace LP83.4 best 100.8

Energy0.52

Connections

JockFraser Aeblyκ 0.09

TrnMark Casseκ 0.47

J×T73 · 21% win · 51% ITM

Angles

Fraser Aebly / Mark Casse 19% -45%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	23	8	3	7	35%	99.2
2026	3	1	1	0	33%	94.3
2025	6	1	0	4	17%	99.2
WO	21	7	3	6	33%	99.2
Synthetic	20	8	3	5	40%	99.2
Route	17	6	1	6	35%	99.2
Wet	1	0	0	1	0%	95.8

WORKS 07-24 WO 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 44 06-18 WO 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 55 06-11 WO 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 48 05-15 WO 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 39 ★04-23 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 B 90 04-09 WO 5 Furlongs 1:02.40 B 54

SIRESociety'S Chairman 79 29%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 35d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	90	2	7	0.2	S	83	95	77	92	97	89	3.7	Fraser Aebly
2026-05-23 21d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	4	7	8.2		88	92	101	89	86	89	0.8	Fraser Aebly
2026-05-02 153d·4.4×	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	1	5	0.0	F	86	nan	87	94	99	89	2.5	Fraser Aebly
2025-11-30 22d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	3	4	1.2	F	83	nan	81	89	90	88	1.05	Patrick Husbands
2025-11-08 20d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	90	9	10	10.0	F	86	92	82	88	92	89	5.05	Pietro Moran
2025-10-19 29d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	88	1	4	0.0		88	nan	75	99	106	88	4.0	Patrick Husbands
2025-09-20 49d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	G3	90	3	8	4.8		88	nan	91	92	96	88	4.05	Patrick Husbands
2025-08-02 42d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	G3	89	3	7	3.5	S	89	86	86	90	95	88	4.25	Sahin Civaci
2025-06-21 217d·6.2×	WO	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	3	8	1.0	F	93	88	88	86	87	87	3.0	Patrick Husbands
2024-11-16	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	G2	90	8	8	22.2	F	67	86	99	85	91	90	3.2	Patrick Husbands

2 Runaway Again

4G 124 lbs L P

24.2%

MODEL %

3-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.4

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig93 -1 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 96 vs par 94

Class90.4 +3.3 vs race +2.9 gap

MC22.0% fair 7-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced90.4 +1.1 vs today

Pace EP83.8 best 92.7

Pace LP80.2 best 116.0

Energy0.50

Connections

JockRyan Mungerκ 0.13

TrnSid Attardκ 0.25

J×T46 · 22% win · 43% ITM

Angles

Ryan Munger / Sid Attard 21% +18% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	4	2	50%	97.4
2026	3	1	2	33%	97.4
2025	5	3	0	60%	93.1
WO	6	3	1	50%	97.4
Synthetic	7	3	2	43%	97.4
Route	7	4	1	57%	97.4
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-23 WO 5 Furlongs :59.80 B 90 ◆Spellcheck·89 07-12 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 B 74 06-20 WO 5 Furlongs 1:01.20 B 72 ◆Volcanic·99 06-13 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 B 69 05-23 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.20 B 77 05-15 WO 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 51

SIREHard Spun 84 86%ile turf 15%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 28d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	90	1	7	0.0	S	91	84	84	93	97	90	4.6	Ryan Munger
2026-05-30 101d·3.0×	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	G2	90	3	7	2.2	F	74	nan	15	97	100	90	12.9	Ryan Munger
2026-02-18 89d·2.6×	TP	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	93	3	8	3.5	F	93	88	80	96	94	88	8.34	Edgar Morales
2025-11-21 34d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	1	10	0.0		89	102	106	89	86	87	9.75	Ryan Munger
2025-10-18 39d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	90	7	7	18.2	S	84	102	116	84	80	91	3.7	Ryan Munger
2025-09-09 24d	FE	9.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	89	1	7	0.0	F	95	87	87	93	101	86	8.25	Ryan Munger
2025-08-16 34d	WO	10.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	89	10	13	14.0	F	97	88	80	86	86	87	9.45	Javier Castellano
2025-07-13	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	1	8	0.0	F	96	77	77	86	88	82	8.7	Ryan Munger

8 Lucky Guest

4G 123 lbs L EP

11.5%

MODEL %

8-1

MODEL FAIR

+2.4

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig89 -5 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class89.6 +2.5 vs race -0.5 gap

MC7.2% fair 12-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.21

Faced87.1 -2.2 vs today

Pace EP83.6 best 97.6

Pace LP78.8 best 86.9

Energy0.51

Connections

JockEmma-Jayne Wilsonκ 0.08

TrnMark Casseκ 0.47

J×T23 · 17% win · 35% ITM

Angles

Emma-Jayne Wilson / Mark Casse 16% -24% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	7	3	1	43%	92.5
2026	3	2	0	67%	90.0
2025	3	1	0	33%	92.5
WO	7	3	1	43%	92.5
Synthetic	7	3	1	43%	92.5
Route	3	2	0	67%	90.0
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-22 WO 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 53 ◆Smudge·93 ★06-25 WO 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 66 06-18 WO 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 67 05-20 WO 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 60 05-13 WO 4 Furlongs :47.40 B 75 ◆Barbara Joan·90 05-03 WO 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 66

SIREYoshida (Jpn) 84 84%ile turf 15%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 34d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	88	1	9	0.0	F	93	86	60	90	92	89	1.8	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2026-05-31 42d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	87	1	8	0.0		80	80	85	90	88	88	2.3	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2026-04-19 280d·6.7×	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	86	4	6	1.0		98	86	77	89	85	86	1.9	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2025-07-13 35d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	87	5	10	5.0	F	86	nan	87	87	89	85	17.75	Sofia Vives
2025-06-08 36d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	88	4	7	8.5	F	72	76	81	83	79	86	4.1	Sahin Civaci
2025-05-03 328d·7.8×	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	1	7	0.0	S	89	nan	97	92	96	85	4.3	Sahin Civaci
2024-06-09	WO	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	3	7	4.0	F	95	nan	81	84	76	82	5.65	Sahin Civaci

3 Rapid Test

6G 122 lbs L S

5.5%

MODEL %

15-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.6

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig91 -3 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class89.3 +2.2 vs race +1.5 gap

MC16.5% fair 5-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.31

Faced89.4 +0.1 vs today

Pace EP81.3 best 96.1

Pace LP88.4 best 116.6

Energy0.51

Connections

JockSahin Civaciκ 0.17was Austin Adams · +1.3

TrnC Day Phillipsκ 0.41

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	20	5	5	1	25%	95.9
2026	3	0	2	1	0%	95.8
2025	2	1	1	0	50%	95.9
WO	20	5	5	1	25%	95.9
Synthetic	14	3	3	1	21%	92.3
Route	6	1	1	0	17%	92.3
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 WO 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 53 07-11 WO 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 66 06-13 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 B 83 ◆Wyoming Bill·95 06-06 WO 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 55 05-16 WO 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 68 ★04-27 WO 5 Furlongs :59.80 B 88 ◆Kekoa·91

SIRESouper Speedy 81 57%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20 28d	WO	7.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	2	9	2.0	F	92	98	100	96	97	89	4.1	Austin Adams
2026-05-23 21d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	2	7	3.2		74	92	117	92	91	88	12.8	Austin Adams
2026-05-02 188d·6.5×	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	3	5	7.8	F	96	nan	90	90	90	89	4.05	Austin Adams
2025-10-26 28d	WO	7.5f	turf	Good	Stk	90	1	6	0.0	S	69	67	80	95	90	89	8.7	Austin Adams
2025-09-28 287d·9.9×	WO	7.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	2	6	2.0	F	79	75	81	96	96	88	14.4	Austin Adams
2024-12-15 29d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	88	5	9	3.5	F	103	84	92	90	94	89	7.55	Austin Adams
2024-11-16 20d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	2	9	1.5		88	nan	96	91	97	88	15.7	Austin Adams
2024-10-27 29d	WO	7.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	89	4	7	2.0		84	76	80	92	93	88	2.8	Rafael Hernandez
2024-09-28 36d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	G3	89	4	5	7.5	F	nan	nan	68	92	100	89	14.2	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2024-08-23	WO	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	1	12	0.0	F	96	90	88	88	95	88	58.4	Emma-Jayne Wilson

7 Twin City LONGSHOT

6G 122 lbs L P

5.4%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

+0.6

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -8 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class87.2 +0.1 vs race -1.1 gap

MC5.5% fair 15-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.39

Faced89.4 +0.1 vs today

Pace EP87.9 best 95.2

Pace LP86.4 best 106.6

Energy0.52

Connections

JockRomero Maraghκ 0.02was Emma-Jayne Wilson · -0.5

TrnStuart Simonκ 0.41

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	28	4	6	4	14%	93.5
2026	2	0	0	0	0%	90.0
2025	7	1	1	1	14%	93.5
WO	27	4	6	4	15%	93.5
Synthetic	20	3	6	3	15%	92.9
Route	14	1	3	3	7%	93.5
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	90.7

WORKS 07-24 WO 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 72 ★07-10 WO 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 61 06-14 WO 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 39 06-07 WO 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 47 ★05-09 WO 5 Furlongs :59.20 B 82 ◆Apeldoorn·87 04-26 WO 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 B 62

SIREKlimt 81 57%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20 28d	WO	7.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	6	9	9.0	F	90	78	83	90	90	88	33.05	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2026-05-23 189d·6.5×	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	7	7	14.5		91	93	107	85	79	89	14.65	Keveh Nicholls
2025-11-15 28d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	90	6	6	5.2	F	95	90	82	89	92	90	3.95	Keveh Nicholls
2025-10-18 35d	WO	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	2	8	2.2	F	93	91	87	93	96	89	4.85	Keveh Nicholls
2025-09-13 28d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	89	4	7	2.8	F	94	89	93	93	104	89	7.8	Keveh Nicholls
2025-08-16 27d	WO	8.0f	turf	Firm	G2	90	3	9	1.5		102	nan	87	94	105	89	53.95	Keveh Nicholls
2025-07-20 29d	WO	7.0f	turf	Good	G2	90	7	10	8.8		82	94	97	88	80	90	77.95	Jose Campos
2025-06-21 30d	WO	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	7	8	5.8	F	87	93	92	84	82	90	12.8	Jose Campos
2025-05-22 187d·6.4×	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	90	1	7	0.0	F	98	95	97	92	92	90	13.9	Jose Campos
2024-11-16	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	3	9	1.8		65	nan	92	91	96	89	19.95	Keveh Nicholls

4 War Court

8G 122 lbs L P

5.2%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.0

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -6 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class88.7 +1.6 vs race -0.7 gap

MC5.5% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced88.7 -0.6 vs today

Pace EP79.5 best 85.6

Pace LP72.5 best 101.8

Energy0.50

Connections

JockKeveh Nichollsκ 0.06

TrnRonald Sadlerκ 0.12

J×T13 · 31% win · 46% ITM

Angles

Ronald Sadler: 2nd off layoff 20% +32% 2nd off layoff 13% -27% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Keveh Nicholls / Ronald Sadler 8% +30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	14	5	1	3	36%	93.4
2026	1	0	0	0	0%	90.7
2025	3	2	0	1	67%	91.5
WO	13	5	1	3	38%	93.4
Synthetic	10	5	1	2	50%	93.4
Route	10	5	1	2	50%	93.4
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-28 WO 3 Furlongs :38.60 B 25 07-22 WO 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 55 07-09 WO 3 Furlongs :38.20 B 30 06-11 WO 5 Furlongs 1:03.20 B 35 06-04 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 B 74 05-27 WO 5 Furlongs 1:03.00 B 41 ◆Souped Up·94

SIREDeclaration Of War 84 84%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20 202d·3.5×	WO	7.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	7	9	10.0	F	75	81	73	91	89	90	13.3	Keveh Nicholls
2025-11-30 120d·2.1×	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	1	4	0.0	F	86	85	30	90	91	89	8.3	Keveh Nicholls
2025-08-02 27d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	1	10	0.0		68	96	nan	90	93	88	4.1	Keveh Nicholls
2025-07-06 581d·10.2×	WO	7.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	3	8	3.2	F	85	89	102	92	96	88	11.45	Keveh Nicholls
2023-12-03 57d	WO	12.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	88	5	14	5.5	S	83	83	63	91	91	88	5.8	Christopher Husbands
2023-10-07 44d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	G3	88	5	7	3.2		55	79	89	93	110	88	16.35	Christopher Husbands
2023-08-24 46d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	88	1	6	0.0	F	91	90	97	93	101	86	2.8	Christopher Husbands
2023-07-09 42d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	86	3	7	3.2	F	88	84	88	91	96	86	4.3	Christopher Husbands
2023-05-28 231d·4.1×	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	2	10	1.2	F	97	nan	86	92	92	84	8.55	Christopher Husbands
2022-10-09	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	85	1	8	0.0	S	90	93	102	86	89	81	14.55	Christopher Husbands

6 Notorious Gangster

4C 122 lbs L S

3.9%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-18.3

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -2 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class89.9 +2.8 vs race +2.6 gap

MC15.1% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced88.8 -0.5 vs today

Pace EP83.5 best 91.8

Pace LP85.8 best 95.2

Energy0.51

Connections

JockRafael Hernandezκ 0.12

TrnJosie Carrollκ 0.63

J×T73 · 27% win · 51% ITM

Angles

Rafael Hernandez / Josie Carroll 28% +1% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	10	4	2	2	40%	95.2
2026	2	1	0	0	50%	95.2
2025	4	1	2	1	25%	90.9
WO	10	4	2	2	40%	95.2
Synthetic	9	4	2	2	44%	95.2
Route	5	1	1	1	20%	91.5
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-27 WO 5 Furlongs 1:03.40 B 41 07-21 WO 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 45 07-09 WO 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 42 ★06-19 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 B 83 06-11 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 B 69 06-04 WO 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 38

SIREClassic Empire 84 87%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 35d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	90	5	7	6.5	S	77	83	89	90	91	91	1.45	Rafael Hernandez
2026-05-23 280d·6.7×	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	1	7	0.0		85	90	95	95	94	90	4.9	Rafael Hernandez
2025-08-16 27d	WO	10.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	89	3	13	4.5	F	92	nan	87	91	93	90	3.5	Fraser Aebly
2025-07-20 42d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	88	2	9	1.2	F	89	nan	90	89	90	90	1.8	Fraser Aebly
2025-06-08 42d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	88	1	7	0.0	F	85	78	84	89	88	89	5.5	Fraser Aebly
2025-04-27 148d·3.5×	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	87	2	8	4.0		87	87	92	91	87	90	4.1	Fraser Aebly
2024-11-30 55d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	86	1	10	0.0		102	nan	60	92	80	88	10.15	Fraser Aebly
2024-10-06 42d	WO	8.5f	turf	Good	Stk	86	7	10	5.2	F	92	nan	84	92	85	86	19.25	Fraser Aebly
2024-08-25 21d	WO	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	1	9	0.0	F	92	85	93	92	86	84	3.5	Fraser Aebly
2024-08-04	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	3	12	5.2	S	84	92	90	90	78	82	25.6	Fraser Aebly

1 Sedburys Ghost

4G 122 lbs L S

3.9%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.8

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -6 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class88.7 +1.6 vs race -0.4 gap

MC7.6% fair 12-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced88.0 -1.3 vs today

Pace EP81.1 best 95.7

Pace LP81.0 best 97.1

Energy0.51

Connections

JockAustin Adamsκ 0.05was Ryan Munger · -0.8

TrnBarbara Minshallκ 0.31

J×T4 · 0% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	12	3	2	2	25%	92.7
2026	3	0	2	0	0%	89.9
2025	7	2	0	1	29%	89.9
WO	12	3	2	2	25%	92.7
Synthetic	9	3	2	2	33%	92.7
Route	8	1	1	1	12%	89.9
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-26 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 B 83 07-19 WO 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 B 62 06-26 WO 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 B 75 06-05 WO 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 53 05-09 WO 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 50 05-03 WO 5 Furlongs 1:02.20 B 54

SIREShaman Ghost 81 47%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 21d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	88	2	9	1.2	F	83	83	97	90	91	88	6.7	Ryan Munger
2026-06-13 27d	WO	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	5	8	6.5	F	73	nan	78	83	83	88	10.1	Ryan Munger
2026-05-17 177d·6.6×	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	2	6	2.5	F	74	77	64	89	91	88	5.45	Ryan Munger
2025-11-21 26d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	86	3	8	2.5	F	96	100	85	90	90	88	2.05	Ryan Munger
2025-10-26 28d	WO	8.5f	turf	Good	AOC	88	8	8	5.8		83	nan	82	83	78	88	12.95	Ryan Munger
2025-09-28 43d	WO	12.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	88	7	9	11.0		86	86	88	80	76	88	11.15	Ryan Munger
2025-08-16 27d	WO	10.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	89	11	13	16.0	F	91	92	101	87	85	89	7.4	Ryan Munger
2025-07-20 22d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	88	1	9	0.0	F	97	nan	82	88	91	88	7.4	Ryan Munger
2025-06-28 20d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	G3	88	4	7	1.8	F	93	86	78	88	89	87	8.1	Ryan Munger
2025-06-08	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	1	7	0.0	S	99	70	65	90	86	86	2.3	Ryan Munger

5 Mansetti

4C 122 lbs L EP

3.4%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-10.9

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -4 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class89.6 +2.5 vs race +0.3 gap

MC8.4% fair 10-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced90.0 +0.7 vs today

Pace EP86.1 best 101.7

Pace LP89.3 best 119.8

Energy0.52

Connections

JockPietro Moranκ 0.03

TrnKevin Attardκ 0.48

J×T286 · 21% win · 51% ITM

Angles

Kevin Attard: off layoff (60d+) 21% -9% Pietro Moran / Kevin Attard 20% -11% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	13	5	3	38%	93.3
2026	2	0	1	0%	91.0
2025	8	3	2	38%	93.3
WO	10	5	2	50%	93.3
Synthetic	10	5	2	50%	93.3
Route	6	2	2	33%	93.3
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 WO 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 52 07-20 WO 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 58 07-12 WO 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 41 07-05 WO 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 66 06-28 WO 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 49 06-21 WO 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 49

SIRECollected 83 74%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-23 21d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	6	7	10.2		63	104	120	88	83	91	4.75	Pietro Moran
2026-05-02 161d·4.1×	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	2	5	4.8	F	92	88	100	91	94	92	3.15	Pietro Moran
2025-11-22 35d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	G3	93	8	10	10.8	F	100	nan	71	86	90	91	12.04	Pietro Moran
2025-10-18 39d	WO	9.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	90	2	7	2.0	S	102	91	100	93	93	92	2.15	Pietro Moran
2025-09-09 24d	FE	9.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	89	2	7	0.5	F	92	86	83	91	100	90	1.7	Pietro Moran
2025-08-16 49d	WO	10.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	89	1	13	0.0	F	80	89	70	92	97	88	18.35	Pietro Moran
2025-06-28 20d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	G3	88	1	7	0.0	F	98	85	97	89	91	87	5.4	Pietro Moran
2025-06-08 42d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	88	5	7	8.8	F	79	81	88	84	79	88	3.35	Leo Salles
2025-04-27 113d·2.9×	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	87	1	8	0.0		nan	nan	98	92	92	87	2.4	Pietro Moran
2025-01-04	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	88	5	7	25.8		73	80	100	85	76	88	7.2	Sahin Civaci