SAR 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 D R4 D R5 D R6 D R7 D R8 T R9 T R10 D R11 T R12 T

Purse $120,000. Five And One Half Furlongs. (Turf) (Rail at 27 Feet) (up To $20,880 Nysbfoa) For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won $22,000 Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 126 Lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 5 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). .

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
2	Lady Jancis	22% 7-2 / 3/1	20.9%	E	1st/1w	93 +2.2	93³-2	90⁵	90⁵	83⁶	L2▲cls	14%	⚠-2.93∠
3	Only for Now	24% 3-1 / 5/1	17.9%	C	10th/1w	92 +1.7	98¹+3	97¹	93³	89⁴	J+0.8	29%	✓+5.61∠
4	Just Add Water ✓	2% 30-1 / 15/1	4.1%	S	7th/1w	93 +2.3	90⁷-5	88⁷	88⁷	90³	L1	14%	4∠
5	Silsbee	20% 4-1 / 5/2	22.3%	P	4th/1w	93 +2.8	96²+1	96²	94²	—	L2	26%	3∠
6	Heat Missile	1% 99-1 / 12/1	4.2%		6th/1w	—	87⁸-8	—	—	—		20%	3∠
7	Army Gal	2% 50-1 / 15/1	4.0%	P	8th/2w	93 +2.2	87⁸-8	—	86⁸	104¹	L2J-0.6D→T▲cls	26%	⚠-1.46∠
8	Paula's a Star	5% 20-1 / 8/1	7.6%	EP	5th/3w	93 +2.0	92⁴-3	90⁵	90⁵	—	▲cls	10%	1∠
9	Duboff	17% 5-1 / 12/1	10.7%	EP	2nd/4w	92 +1.3	92⁴-3	95³	95¹	84⁵	L1J-1.3▲cls	20%	⚠-2.74∠
10	Queen Juno	3% 30-1 / 20/1	3.4%	EP	3rd/4w	86 -4.6	87⁸-8	86⁸	86⁸	97²	L3★goldT-0.8J+1.2▲cls	28%	⚠-1.13∠
11	One More Guitar	3% 30-1 / 12/1	5.0%	S	9th/3w	90 -0.3	92⁴-3	92⁴	92⁴	—	J-0.5▲cls	—

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 21.9s par 22.4 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 2 81/87 Lady Jancis 9 »»» 85/98 Duboff 10 »»» 98/112 Queen Juno 5 112/98 Silsbee 8 »» 94/95 Paula's a Star 6 Heat Missile 4 95/96 Just Add Water 7 C★ » 93/121 Army Gal 11 »» 95/91 One More Guitar 3 89/94 Only for Now

On the lead: 2, 9 · race sets up for closers

3 Only for Now THIN DATA

3F 122 lbs L C

24.2%

MODEL %

3-1

MODEL FAIR

+7.5

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig98 +3 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 95 vs par 95

Class92.3 +1.7 vs race +5.7 gap

MC27.6% fair 5-2

ConfNORMAL σα 0.33

Faced88.4 -4.2 vs today

Pace EP82.2 best 88.9

Pace LP84.7 best 94.4

Energy0.50

Connections

JockFlavien Pratκ 0.29was Jorge Ruiz · +0.8

TrnMiguel Clementκ 0.57

J×T41 · 29% win · 54% ITM

Angles

Flavien Prat / Miguel Clement 29% +18%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	2	1	50%	97.4
2026	2	1	50%	97.4
2025	0	0	—	—
SAR	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	1	50%	97.4
Sprint	2	1	50%	97.4
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-21 BEL 5 Furlongs 1:02.25 B 68 ◆Illmatic·95 07-09 BEL 4 Furlongs :49.21 B 54 06-29 BEL 4 Furlongs :48.69 B 62 06-06 BEL 5 Furlongs 1:01.25 B 78 ◆Grunge·90 05-29 BEL 4 Furlongs 49.60 B 48 ★04-29 PAY 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 97 ◆Apollo Ten·96

SIRENot This Time 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-14 37d	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	5	7	2.5		89	94	89	93	87	91	0.8	Jorge Ruiz
2026-05-08	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	1	6	0.0	F	82	96	94	97	91	86	1.33	Manuel Franco

2 Lady Jancis THIN DATA

3F 122 lbs L E

21.5%

MODEL %

7-2

MODEL FAIR

-3.5

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig93 -2 vs par

Needs +5~15% run that

Class92.8 +2.2 vs race -0.2 gap

MC9.3% fair 10-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced86.8 -5.8 vs today

Pace EP80.3 best 81.3

Pace LP82.4 best 86.9

Energy0.52

Connections

JockIrad Ortiz, Jr.κ 0.28

TrnSteven Asmussenκ 0.33

J×T51 · 14% win · 41% ITM

Angles

Steven Asmussen: 2nd off layoff 17% -28% Irad Ortiz, Jr. / Steven Asmussen 15% -43% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	2	1	50%	90.4
2026	1	1	100%	90.4
2025	1	0	0%	88.7
SAR	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	1	50%	90.4
Sprint	2	1	50%	90.4
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-22 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.30 B 59 07-11 SAR 4 Furlongs :51.20 B 36 07-03 SAR 4 Furlongs :51.95 B 27 05-29 CD 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 52 05-21 CD 4 Furlongs :47.80 B G 66 05-12 CD 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 67

SIRESpeightstown 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-10 242d	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	1	12	0.0		81	83	85	90	87	92	0.71	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-10-11	KEE	5.5f	turf	Good	MSW	88	4	11	1.8	F	80	nan	87	89	88	88	3.25	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

5 Silsbee

4F 126 lbs L P

20.5%

MODEL %

4-1

MODEL FAIR

-8.1

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig96 +1 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class93.4 +2.8 vs race +2.3 gap

MC24.7% fair 3-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.33

Faced90.8 -1.8 vs today

Pace EP90.6 best 112.1

Pace LP80.8 best 97.7

Energy0.50

Connections

JockEdgard Zayasκ 0.19was Manuel Franco · -0.2

TrnGeorge Weaverκ 0.42

J×T23 · 26% win · 52% ITM

Angles

Edgard Zayas / George Weaver 27% +94% George Weaver: 2nd off layoff 19% -14% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	7	3	1	1	43%	96.0
2026	1	0	1	0	0%	94.1
2025	5	3	0	1	60%	96.0
SAR	3	0	1	1	0%	94.1
Turf	6	3	1	1	50%	96.0
Sprint	7	3	1	1	43%	96.0
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	80.9

WORKS 07-25 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.00 B 56 07-13 SAR 4 Furlongs :49.55 B 62 06-21 SAR 4 Furlongs :48.45 B 75 05-29 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:01.88 B 65

SIREVekoma 87 95%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-05 208d·2.8×	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	92	2	9	1.2	F	—	—	—	94	97	93	3.11	Manuel Franco
2025-11-09 23d	AQU	6.0f	turf	Good	AOC	92	1	7	0.0		nan	nan	73	96	100	92	2.1	Manuel Franco
2025-10-17 55d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	1	5	0.0	S	95	87	98	91	83	91	0.42	Manuel Franco
2025-08-23 16d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	89	3	12	3.8	F	91	96	91	92	93	91	1.55	John Velazquez
2025-08-07 74d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	4	9	1.5	F	95	89	88	92	89	87	3.7	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-05-25 239d·3.2×	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	1	12	0.0	S	112	78	56	94	90	83	1.75	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2024-09-28	BAQ	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW	85	5	9	10.2		65	97	98	81	62	85	2.55	Manuel Franco

9 Duboff

4F 126 lbs L EP

17.2%

MODEL %

5-1

MODEL FAIR

+9.5

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -3 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class91.9 +1.3 vs race +0.4 gap

MC9.5% fair 10-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.38

Faced88.6 -4.0 vs today

Pace EP77.7 best 84.9

Pace LP85.3 best 98.1

Energy0.52

Connections

JockChristopher Elliottκ 0.09was Samuel Marin · -1.3

TrnGregory Saccoκ 0.11

J×T41 · 20% win · 54% ITM

Angles

Christopher Elliott / Gregory Sacco 20% -42% Gregory Sacco: off layoff (60d+) 15% -37% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	9	4	2	44%	94.7
2026	1	1	0	100%	94.7
2025	5	2	1	40%	90.6
SAR	1	0	0	0%	84.5
Turf	9	4	2	44%	94.7
Sprint	6	3	2	50%	94.7
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-12 DEL 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 58 07-05 DEL 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 60 06-25 DEL 4 Furlongs :51.40 B 37 06-13 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 50 06-06 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 42 05-30 DEL 3 Furlongs :37.00 B 51

SIREHandsome Mike 81 51%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-01-07 49d	TAM	5.0f	turf	Good	AOC	89	1	10	0.0	F	77	83	91	95	92	91	2.0	Samuel Marin
2025-11-19 32d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	7	9	9.8	F	85	nan	78	85	87	92	6.3	Jose Ferrer
2025-10-18 55d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	92	3	10	2.5	S	80	85	88	86	83	91	12.29	Samuel Marin
2025-08-24 18d	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	84	1	7	0.0		—	—	—	91	88	90	0.3	Samuel Marin
2025-08-06 46d	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	4	7	0.8	S	nan	nan	87	84	80	88	8.8	Javier Castellano
2025-06-21 231d·5.0×	BAQ	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	1	11	0.0	F	62	85	98	88	91	86	4.6	Javier Castellano
2024-11-02 43d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	89	8	8	13.2		68	82	104	85	80	86	45.75	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2024-09-20 6d	MED	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	82	1	9	0.0		94	73	60	86	82	86	1.0	Melissa Iorio
2024-09-14	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	83	3	12	3.8		—	—	—	84	71	83	40.4	Melissa Iorio

8 Paula's a Star

4F 126 lbs L EP

5.3%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.8

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -3 vs par

Needs +5~15% run that

Class92.6 +2.0 vs race -1.0 gap

MC9.7% fair 9-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.31

Faced91.4 -1.2 vs today

Pace EP85.4 best 93.9

Pace LP72.2 best 95.3

Energy0.54

Connections

JockJunior Alvaradoκ 0.2was Ricardo Santana, Jr. · +0.3

TrnThomas Morleyκ 0.29

J×T10 · 10% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Junior Alvarado / Thomas Morley 9% -47%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	11	1	2	3	9%	97.5
2026	4	0	1	0	0%	91.3
2025	6	1	1	2	17%	97.5
SAR	5	0	1	0	0%	96.1
Turf	2	0	0	0	0%	90.3
Sprint	11	1	2	3	9%	97.5
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-23 SAR 4 Furlongs 50.09 B 43 06-24 SAR 4 Furlongs :48.96 B 55 05-28 BEL 4 Furlongs 49.77 B 48 05-01 BEL 4 Furlongs 48.22 B 64 04-19 BEL 4 Furlongs 49.84 B 52 ◆A Bourbon For Toby·94 03-26 BEL 4 Furlongs 50.50 B 45

SIRETapiture 83 76%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 28d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	5	9	3.5		—	—	—	90	91	92	2.98	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2026-06-05 27d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	92	4	9	2.8	F	—	—	—	90	95	92	13.29	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2026-05-09 35d	BAQ	6.0f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	AOC	91	2	8	1.2	F	94	93	69	91	87	91	7.79	Manuel Franco
2026-04-04 223d·6.4×	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	5	6	11.5		92	85	95	91	96	92	4.85	Manuel Franco
2025-08-24 36d	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	92	5	7	5.5		79	nan	94	92	93	93	6.4	Manuel Franco
2025-07-19 41d	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	91	2	7	0.8		86	48	12	95	92	92	6.5	Manuel Franco
2025-06-08 51d	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	4	7	3.5		92	92	67	96	98	91	24.0	Manuel Franco
2025-04-18 34d	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	3	7	5.5	S	87	91	86	95	84	92	0.4	Madison Olver
2025-03-15 35d	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	3	6	3.0	S	92	84	77	94	90	90	3.45	Madison Olver
2025-02-08	AQU	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	1	8	0.0	F	56	85	102	98	100	89	1.7	Madison Olver

11 One More Guitar

3F 122 lbs L S

2.9%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.8

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -3 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class90.3 -0.3 vs race +2.0 gap

MC6.1% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced87.6 -5.0 vs today

Pace EP85.4 best 95.0

Pace LP81.1 best 91.2

Energy0.51

Connections

JockKatie Davisκ 0.18was Jose Lezcano · -0.5

TrnThomas Proctorκ 0.42

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	1	12%	91.6
2026	4	1	1	25%	91.6
2025	4	0	0	0%	86.5
SAR	3	0	0	0%	91.6
Turf	7	1	1	14%	91.6
Sprint	6	1	1	17%	91.6
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-23 SAR 4 Furlongs 50.34 B 40 07-16 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.65 B 52 ★06-27 SAR 4 Furlongs :46.77 B 81 ★06-20 SAR 3 Furlongs :34.83 B 61 ★06-12 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:01.04 B 73 06-05 SAR 4 Furlongs :49.78 B 45

SIREBolt D'Oro 85 89%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 55d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	6	9	3.5		—	—	—	92	91	89	5.6	Jose Lezcano
2026-05-09 55d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	93	6	8	3.8	S	68	109	85	91	88	88	4.21	Kendrick Carmouche
2026-03-15 29d	FG	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	1	8	0.0	F	95	92	91	89	100	87	4.2	Sofia Vives
2026-02-14 70d	FG	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	3	9	2.2	F	90	nan	60	88	97	86	17.8	Sofia Vives
2025-12-06 79d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	8	10	5.5		95	76	84	85	72	86	4.7	Jesus Castanon
2025-09-18 21d	BAQ	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	5	7	5.0		95	90	88	84	77	86	7.84	Kendrick Carmouche
2025-08-28 26d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	5	10	2.2	F	60	92	96	86	80	79	24.75	Kendrick Carmouche
2025-08-02	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	87	10	10	18.2	F	94	nan	83	80	68	87	15.4	Jose Lezcano

10 Queen Juno

3F 122 lbs L EP

2.6%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.2

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 -8 vs par

Needs +10~3% run that

Class86.0 -4.6 vs race +1.3 gap

MC1.7% fair 50-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced85.4 -7.2 vs today

Pace EP84.6 best 98.2

Pace LP87.5 best 111.5

Energy0.53

Connections

JockKendrick Carmoucheκ 0.19was Emma-Jayne Wilson · +1.2

TrnJoe Sharpκ 0.4was Mark Casse · -0.8

J×T36 · 28% win · 61% ITM

Angles

Kendrick Carmouche / Joe Sharp 21% +41% 3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	1	20%	89.4
2026	3	1	0	33%	86.5
2025	2	0	1	0%	89.4
SAR	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	1	0	50%	86.5
Sprint	5	1	1	20%	89.4
Wet	1	0	1	0%	89.4

WORKS 07-26 SAR 4 Furlongs 51.70 B 39 07-19 SAR 4 Furlongs 50.55 B 46 06-13 WO 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 50 05-20 WO 4 Furlongs :49.80 B G 48 05-13 WO 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 49 ◆Souper Gin'S World 05-02 CAA 4 Furlongs :49.20 B

SIREYaupon 88 97%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20 21d	WO	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	82	1	7	0.0		98	88	95	86	83	86	5.1	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2026-05-30 105d	WO	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	4	7	4.5		92	88	91	84	76	86	3.65	Romero Maragh
2026-02-14 195d	GP	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	7	10	6.0	F	86	91	112	83	84	85	10.3	Micah Husbands
2025-08-03 22d	ELP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	9	11	25.2		84	81	87	77	56	91	2.26	Cristian Torres
2025-07-12	ELP	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW	88	2	9	2.5		76	74	75	89	85	88	2.6	Cristian Torres

4 Just Add Water

4F 126 lbs L S

2.5%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.8

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -5 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class92.9 +2.3 vs race -3.1 gap

MC6.2% fair 15-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.34

Faced88.3 -4.3 vs today

Pace EP82.5 best 95.1

Pace LP78.8 best 96.1

Energy0.51

Connections

JockDylan Davisκ 0.22was Edgard Zayas · +0.3

TrnChad Summersκ 0.26

J×T22 · 14% win · 55% ITM

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Dylan Davis / Chad Summers 11% -51% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Chad Summers: off layoff (60d+) 8% -41%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	2	1	40%	88.0
2026	1	0	0	0%	87.5
2025	4	2	1	50%	88.0
SAR	3	2	1	67%	88.0
Turf	5	2	1	40%	88.0
Sprint	5	2	1	40%	88.0
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.77 B 54 07-10 SAR 3 Furlongs :37.00 B 44 06-29 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:03.25 B 60 ◆No Rain No Flowers·90 06-22 SAR 4 Furlongs :50.55 B 66 ◆Ames·84 06-12 BEL 4 Furlongs :48.25 B 65 06-05 BEL 4 Furlongs :49.24 B 58

SIREMendelssohn 83 80%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-04-23 251d·5.5×	AQU	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	4	6	4.5		95	nan	85	88	85	93	3.03	Edgard Zayas
2025-08-15 26d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Good	AOC	92	3	7	3.8		74	72	42	88	79	92	2.5	Jose Ortiz
2025-07-20 46d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Good	Alw	89	1	9	0.0		79	94	96	86	78	91	5.9	Jose Ortiz
2025-06-04 24d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	1	11	0.0	F	89	81	75	87	86	89	2.8	Jose Lezcano
2025-05-11	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Good	MSW	86	4	8	2.8	S	nan	nan	91	84	76	86	8.0	Jose Lezcano

7 Army Gal

4F 126 lbs L P

2.3%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.0

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 -8 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class92.8 +2.2 vs race -6.2 gap

MC2.7% fair 30-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced90.4 -2.2 vs today

Pace EP85.4 best 93.5

Pace LP90.1 best 121.3

Energy0.52

≠ Cross-surface α

Connections

JockRicardo Santana, Jr.κ 0.17was Jose Lezcano · -0.6

TrnLinda Riceκ 0.35

J×T23 · 26% win · 57% ITM

Angles

Ricardo Santana, Jr. / Linda Rice 22% +41% Linda Rice: 2nd off layoff 20% -25% 2nd off layoff 13% -27% First-time turf 10% -26% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Linda Rice: first-time turf 8% -37%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	11	3	2	2	27%	97.2
2026	2	0	0	1	0%	88.5
2025	9	3	2	1	33%	97.2
SAR	3	0	1	1	0%	93.5
Turf	0	0	0	0	—	—
Sprint	9	3	2	2	33%	97.2
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.42 B 49 06-25 BEL 4 Furlongs :48.42 B 64 06-13 BEL 4 Furlongs :48.01 B 66 05-30 BEL 4 Furlongs 48.86 B 61 05-02 BEL 5 Furlongs 1:01.67 B 64 04-21 BEL 4 Furlongs 48.52 B 62

SIREArmy Mule 84 86%ile turf 16%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11 63d	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	3	6	6.8		87	110	121	86	82	93	3.11	Jose Lezcano
2026-05-09 154d·3.1×	BAQ	6.0f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	AOC	91	4	8	2.2	F	94	90	103	88	86	92	2.26	Jose Lezcano
2025-12-06 23d	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	90	4	8	3.5		88	90	90	90	95	92	1.68	Jose Lezcano
2025-11-13 63d	AQU	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	91	3	7	2.2	F	88	nan	73	95	107	92	4.15	Dylan Davis
2025-09-11 62d	BAQ	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	1	5	0.0	F	87	96	93	97	101	91	3.41	Dylan Davis
2025-07-11 35d	SAR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	4	4	12.8	S	97	83	94	88	84	93	0.5	Jose Lezcano
2025-06-06 40d	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	2	9	3.2	F	76	92	82	94	96	92	2.45	Jose Lezcano
2025-04-27 50d	AQU	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	91	2	6	1.0		91	77	87	94	95	91	3.65	Jose Lezcano
2025-03-08 6d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	4	7	13.0		101	90	82	90	81	94	2.55	Jose Lezcano
2025-03-02	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	1	6	0.0	S	94	83	67	94	96	91	4.0	Jose Lezcano

6 Heat Missile

5M 126 lbs

0.9%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.8

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 -8 vs par

MC2.7% fair 30-1

ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285

⚠ No history — ML-anchored

Connections

JockJose Ortizκ 0.25

TrnMark Casseκ 0.47

J×T205 · 20% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Jose Ortiz / Mark Casse 19% -15% Mark Casse: debut 14% -28% Debut 11% -25%

Record

	Win%	Fig
Life	—	—
2026	—	—
2025	—	—
SAR	—	—
Turf	—	—
Sprint	—	—
Wet	—	—

WORKS 07-26 SAR 3 Furlongs 37.45 B 38 07-19 KEE 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 65 07-12 KEE Three Furlongs 34.60 b 65

SIREToo Darn Hot (Gb) 83 76%ile

No prior races in database