SAR 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 D R4 D R5 D R6 D R7 D R8 T R9 T R10 D R11 T R12 T

SAR 2026-08-01 One And One Sixteenth Miles INNER TURF

strength

+0.6 fair

win par

fig to beat

LONE SPEED

shape

front favored

HONEST

early pace

1st¼ 23.7s / par 23.7

BALANCED

field

figs 90.2–96.9

Purse $225,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. (Inner turf) For Fillies Three Years Old.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Honfleur	20% 4-1 / 10/1	12.4%	P	4th/1w	92 -1.4	92⁵-4	90⁷	90⁵	86⁵	★gold▲cls	26%	⚠-2.32∠
2	Star Actress	16% 5-1 / 15/1	9.5%	C	9th/1w	95 +0.8	92⁵-4	90⁷	96¹	72⁹	D→T	19%	LS4∠
3	Candy Moonshine	3% 30-1 / 15/1	3.9%	E	1st/1w	91 -2.4	90⁸-6	91⁶	87⁶	104¹	L2▲cls	18%	4∠
4	Time to Dream ✓	3% 30-1 / 5/1	9.1%	S	8th/1w	98 +3.9	94³-2	94²	87⁶	93³		19%	2∠
5	Ultimate Love	1% 50-1 / 10/1	4.8%	S	5th/1w	94 +0.6	90⁸-6	92⁵	83⁹	86⁵	L3★goldJ-0.7	0%	⚠-1.53∠
6	Amberglen	21% 4-1 / 5/2	21.5%	P	3rd/1w	94 0.0	96²+0	94²	94²	93³	L2▲cls	30%	4∠
7	Code	2% 50-1 / 15/1	3.6%	P	6th/2w	93 -1.2	91⁷-5	87⁹	86⁸	84⁷	T+4.1J-0.7▲cls	27%	2∠
8	Deep Learning ✓	16% 5-1 / 7/2	16.7%	S	7th/3w	95 +1.2	94³-2	94²	94²	81⁸	L1▲cls	26%	⚠-1.64∠
9	Lion Lake	17% 5-1 / 3/1	18.5%	P	2nd/3w	97 +3.4	97¹+1	96¹	94²	94²	J-0.6	19%	1∠

Pace Projector LONE SPEED front favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 23.7 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 3 LS★ HOLDS ⚡ 105/106 Candy Moonshine 9 »» 94/96 Lion Lake 6 LP 90/111 Amberglen 1 100/99 Honfleur 5 96/90 Ultimate Love 7 » 87/96 Code 8 »» 93/94 Deep Learning 4 98/96 Time to Dream 2 LP 89/110 Star Actress

On the lead: 3 · race sets up for front

6 Amberglen

3F 120 lbs P

20.6%

MODEL %

4-1

MODEL FAIR

-8.0

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig96 0 vs par

Needs +4~19% run that

Class93.8 0.0 vs race +1.9 gap

MC18.3% fair 9-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced89.3 -5.1 vs today

Pace EP79.3 best 89.5

Pace LP85.3 best 110.6

Energy0.49

Connections

JockIrad Ortiz, Jr.κ 0.28

TrnBrad Coxκ 0.69

J×T289 · 30% win · 62% ITM

Angles

Irad Ortiz, Jr. / Brad Cox 28% -18% Brad Cox: 2nd off layoff 26% -16% 2nd off layoff 13% -27% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	4	2	1	50%	94.0
2026	2	1	1	50%	94.0
2025	2	1	0	50%	94.0
SAR	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	3	2	1	67%	94.0
Route	4	2	1	50%	94.0
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.44 B 58 07-17 SAR 4 Furlongs 48.50 B 67 04-25 KEE 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 48 04-04 PAY 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 54 ★03-28 PAY 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 59 ★03-22 PAY 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 B 86 ◆Iron Max·90

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-19 71d	CD	9.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	1	9	0.0	F	76	89	111	94	102	93	1.52	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-04-09 133d	KEE	8.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	89	2	9	5.0		90	83	91	90	83	92	1.36	Flavien Prat
2025-11-27 35d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	91	4	7	5.0	S	71	78	80	92	89	93	2.8	Javier Castellano
2025-10-23	KEE	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	1	12	0.0		80	nan	76	94	85	88	2.41	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

1 Honfleur

3F 120 lbs P

20.5%

MODEL %

4-1

MODEL FAIR

+11.4

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -4 vs par

Needs +7~8% run that

Class92.4 -1.4 vs race -0.8 gap

MC8.0% fair 12-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced88.8 -5.6 vs today

Pace EP88.9 best 99.5

Pace LP75.4 best 99.4

Energy0.50

Connections

JockJose Ortizκ 0.25was Joel Rosario · -0.2

TrnChad Brownκ 0.77

J×T27 · 26% win · 70% ITM

Angles

Jose Ortiz / Chad Brown 25% -22% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	1	1	20%	93.9
2026	3	1	1	0	33%	90.4
2025	2	0	0	1	0%	93.9
SAR	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	3	1	1	0	33%	90.4
Route	4	1	1	0	25%	91.2
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 09-19 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 48.8 nan 09-12 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 50.6 nan 08-30 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 49.4 nan 07-25 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.00 B 56 07-18 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.30 B 69 ◆Fitz Right·93 07-09 CD Four Furlongs 48.40 b 66

SIREOmaha Beach 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-04 35d	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	92	5	10	3.0		100	97	72	90	98	91	3.92	Joel Rosario
2026-04-30 26d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	1	12	0.0		97	88	77	89	89	90	1.06	Flavien Prat
2026-04-04 149d·3.5×	KEE	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	2	9	1.0	F	96	94	50	87	90	88	1.74	Flavien Prat
2025-11-06 42d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	6	8	9.2	S	85	76	64	91	83	89	3.06	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-09-25	CD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	3	12	5.8	F	93	81	99	94	86	88	9.1	Tyler Gaffalione

9 Lion Lake

3F 124 lbs P

17.2%

MODEL %

5-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.8

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig97 +1 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class97.2 +3.4 vs race -0.3 gap

MC19.6% fair 4-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.19

Faced92.0 -2.4 vs today

Pace EP83.5 best 93.5

Pace LP84.6 best 95.9

Energy0.48

Connections

JockLuis Saezκ 0.18was John Velazquez · -0.6

TrnBrendan Walshκ 0.61

J×T72 · 19% win · 44% ITM

Angles

Luis Saez / Brendan Walsh 17% -12%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	2	2	3	25%	95.5
2026	5	2	1	2	40%	95.5
2025	3	0	1	1	0%	92.8
SAR	1	0	1	0	0%	94.2
Turf	8	2	2	3	25%	95.5
Route	6	1	1	3	17%	95.5
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 62 ★07-17 SAR 5 Furlongs 59.21 B 91 ◆Vasy·91 07-10 SAR 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 75 03-29 KEE 4 Furlongs :51.20 B 53 ◆Vasy·89 03-20 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.35 B 50

SIREDark Angel (Ire) 81 55%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-05 35d	SAR	8.5f	turf	Firm	G2	94	2	7	1.0	S	94	87	94	94	96	97	1.34	John Velazquez
2026-05-01 27d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	G2	95	3	13	0.1	F	88	85	92	96	103	95	5.3	John Velazquez
2026-04-04 35d	KEE	8.0f	turf	Firm	G2	93	3	10	0.2	F	76	nan	84	95	95	93	8.43	John Velazquez
2026-02-28 29d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	91	1	8	0.0		86	94	96	95	101	90	11.1	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-01-30 37d	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	1	10	0.0	S	85	85	71	90	78	90	1.6	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-12-24 68d	GP	8.5f	turf	Good	MSW	87	3	9	0.5		97	88	90	88	86	89	1.1	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-10-17 40d	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	2	10	2.8	F	80	93	88	93	90	87	3.7	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-09-07	KD	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	4	12	6.2	F	104	89	77	90	83	86	3.68	Lanfranco Dettori

2 Star Actress LONGSHOT

3F 120 lbs C

16.5%

MODEL %

5-1

MODEL FAIR

+10.2

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -4 vs par

Needs +2~31% run that

Class94.6 +0.8 vs race -2.3 gap

MC10.8% fair 8-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.39

Faced91.3 -3.1 vs today

Pace EP80.4 best 89.4

Pace LP87.7 best 109.7

Energy0.50

Connections

JockJunior Alvaradoκ 0.2

TrnWilliam Mottκ 0.53

J×T593 · 19% win · 48% ITM

Angles

Junior Alvarado / William Mott 18% -16% William Mott: first-time turf 11% -22% First-time turf 10% -26% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	6	1	2	1	17%	95.9
2026	6	1	2	1	17%	95.9
2025	0	0	0	0	—	—
SAR	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	1	0	1	0	0%	90.1
Route	5	1	1	1	20%	95.9
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 SAR 5 Furlongs 59.65 B 84 07-04 CD 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 58 06-24 CD 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 61 ★06-16 CD 4 Furlongs :47.60 B 68 05-31 CD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 49 05-24 CD 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 54

SIREJustify 88 96%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11 37d	IND	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	94	5	5	5.5	S	66	85	78	96	103	95	4.5	Junior Alvarado
2026-06-04 34d	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	92	2	10	2.2		89	91	103	90	99	94	9.04	Jaime Torres
2026-05-01 28d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	5	10	6.2	S	nan	nan	74	94	94	94	3.35	Junior Alvarado
2026-04-03 19d	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Good	G1	93	3	6	5.8	S	89	83	110	92	93	92	11.99	Junior Alvarado
2026-03-15 35d	GP	8.5f	dirt	Good	MSW	86	1	5	0.0		78	86	96	95	92	91	0.6	Junior Alvarado
2026-02-08	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	87	2	9	0.5	F	98	92	71	94	91	87	7.7	Junior Alvarado

8 Deep Learning

3F 120 lbs S

16.1%

MODEL %

5-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.1

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 -2 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class95.0 +1.2 vs race -0.6 gap

MC10.4% fair 9-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.21

Faced89.7 -4.7 vs today

Pace EP84.6 best 93.4

Pace LP82.0 best 93.8

Energy0.48

Connections

JockFlavien Pratκ 0.29

TrnChad Brownκ 0.77

J×T547 · 26% win · 63% ITM

Angles

Flavien Prat / Chad Brown 26% -16% Chad Brown: off layoff (60d+) 24% -14% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	4	2	1	50%	93.7
2026	0	0	0	—	—
2025	4	2	1	50%	93.7
SAR	1	1	0	100%	92.2
Turf	4	2	1	50%	93.7
Route	4	2	1	50%	93.7
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.00 B 57 07-18 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.70 B 59 07-11 SAR 4 Furlongs :49.30 B 66 ◆Academia·93 07-04 SAR 4 Furlongs :49.70 B 51 06-27 SAR 4 Furlongs :48.95 B 62 06-20 SAR 4 Furlongs :49.30 B 60

SIRECairo Prince 84 83%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-11-06 33d	AQU	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	1	6	0.0	S	84	82	78	94	95	94	0.78	Flavien Prat
2025-10-04 21d	BAQ	8.5f	turf	Firm	G2	91	2	10	2.0	F	93	77	84	88	82	93	2.4	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-09-13 36d	WO	8.0f	turf	Firm	G1	89	5	9	1.8		83	91	79	90	80	92	1.4	Flavien Prat
2025-08-08	SAR	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	1	9	0.0		91	98	94	92	89	87	2.35	Flavien Prat

4 Time to Dream

3F 120 lbs S

3.3%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-13.4

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 -2 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class97.7 +3.9 vs race -3.4 gap

MC14.9% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.21

Faced94.1 -0.3 vs today

Pace EP87.2 best 98.1

Pace LP76.8 best 95.8

Energy0.49

Connections

JockEdgard Zayasκ 0.19

TrnTodd Pletcherκ 0.64

J×T75 · 19% win · 36% ITM

Angles

Edgard Zayas / Todd Pletcher 19% -36% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	2	1	2	25%	93.7
2026	4	0	1	1	0%	93.7
2025	4	2	0	1	50%	90.2
SAR	4	2	0	1	50%	92.8
Turf	8	2	1	2	25%	93.7
Route	8	2	1	2	25%	93.7
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-22 SAR 4 Furlongs 51.19 B 28 ◆Donegal Surges·100 06-27 SAR 4 Furlongs :49.30 B 57 06-19 SAR 4 Furlongs :49.50 B 54 05-22 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.95 B 55

SIRENot This Time 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 29d	SAR	9.0f	turf	Firm	G1	96	5	10	5.8		98	94	88	87	85	98	37.39	Edgard Zayas
2026-06-05 35d	SAR	8.5f	turf	Firm	G2	94	3	7	1.8	S	92	89	76	93	95	98	3.18	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-05-01 55d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	G2	95	7	13	2.5	F	92	80	85	94	100	97	8.52	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-03-07 127d·3.6×	TAM	8.5f	turf	Good	G3	90	2	11	1.2	F	83	46	29	94	84	96	2.2	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-10-31 28d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	G1	96	10	12	10.8	F	92	95	96	88	83	97	4.0	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-10-03 37d	KEE	8.5f	turf	Firm	G2	92	3	11	1.0	F	93	nan	82	90	90	95	1.03	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-08-27 33d	SAR	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	1	7	0.0		99	91	110	90	83	92	0.65	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-07-25	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	1	8	0.0	S	66	88	92	90	79	87	3.95	Jose Ortiz

3 Candy Moonshine

3F 120 lbs E

2.6%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.6

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -6 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class91.4 -2.4 vs race -0.9 gap

MC6.7% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced87.1 -7.3 vs today

Pace EP87.9 best 104.9

Pace LP88.6 best 106.4

Energy0.50

Connections

JockJaime Rodriguezκ 0.16

TrnMichael Gorhamκ 0.14

J×T51 · 18% win · 49% ITM

Angles

Jaime Rodriguez / Michael Gorham 18% -21% 2nd off layoff 13% -27% Michael Gorham: 2nd off layoff 12% -24% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	2	4	12%	91.4
2026	1	0	0	0	0%	87.2
2025	7	1	2	4	14%	91.4
SAR	1	0	0	0	0%	87.2
Turf	6	1	1	3	17%	91.4
Route	5	1	1	2	20%	91.4
Wet	1	0	0	1	0%	86.4

WORKS 07-21 DEL 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 58 06-25 DEL 4 Furlongs :49.80 B G 58 06-17 DEL 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 60 06-10 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 51 ◆My Hometown Gal 06-03 DEL 4 Furlongs :51.20 B 37 05-20 DEL 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 45 ◆Italian Wine·92

SIRETwirling Candy 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 239d·11.4×	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	4	6	3.8		105	91	103	87	86	90	31.0	Jaime Rodriguez
2025-11-06 11d	AQU	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	3	6	2.0	S	88	70	76	91	93	88	9.04	Jaime Rodriguez
2025-10-26 21d	BAQ	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	1	11	0.0	F	89	88	94	87	84	88	7.66	Jaime Rodriguez
2025-10-05 17d	BAQ	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	3	11	0.8		83	100	106	87	82	87	17.46	Manuel Franco
2025-09-18 21d	DEL	7.5f	turf	Soft	MSW	81	3	10	0.8	F	99	98	89	86	77	86	2.2	Raul Mena
2025-08-28 41d·2.0×	DEL	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	83	2	8	0.2		97	96	101	86	82	86	9.6	Raul Mena
2025-07-18 15d	DEL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	82	2	4	0.1	S	96	nan	79	85	78	83	1.2	Jaime Rodriguez
2025-07-03	DEL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	83	3	7	7.2	F	85	95	104	85	81	83	1.6	Jaime Rodriguez

7 Code

3F 120 lbs P

1.8%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.5

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig91 -5 vs par

Needs +10~3% run that

Class92.6 -1.2 vs race -1.9 gap

MC5.5% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced88.8 -5.6 vs today

Pace EP82.6 best 87.0

Pace LP81.5 best 96.1

Energy0.49

Connections

JockDylan Davisκ 0.22was Flavien Prat · -0.7

TrnTodd Pletcherκ 0.64was Steven Hampson · +4.1

J×T55 · 27% win · 53% ITM

Angles

Dylan Davis / Todd Pletcher 22% +27% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	1	1	25%	89.1
2026	4	1	1	1	25%	89.1
2025	0	0	0	0	—	—
SAR	1	0	0	1	0%	85.9
Turf	3	1	1	1	33%	86.9
Route	2	0	1	1	0%	86.9
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-20 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.25 B 53 05-28 CD 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 48 05-02 GP 4 Furlongs :50.76 B 47 04-24 GP 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 50

SIRETiz The Law 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 26d	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	3	6	3.8		84	85	84	86	86	92	11.4	Flavien Prat
2026-06-07 29d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	92	2	11	0.2	F	81	90	96	87	92	89	14.51	Luis Saez
2026-05-09 28d	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	1	10	0.0	S	86	83	84	86	88	87	7.4	Joe Bravo
2026-04-11	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	86	4	7	5.2	F	87	84	66	89	85	86	4.2	Rajiv Maragh

5 Ultimate Love

3F 120 lbs S

1.4%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.7

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -6 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class94.4 +0.6 vs race -4.2 gap

MC5.7% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced92.0 -2.4 vs today

Pace EP86.7 best 95.9

Pace LP80.0 best 90.2

Energy0.49

Connections

JockRicardo Santana, Jr.κ 0.17was John Velazquez · -0.7

TrnMichael Trombettaκ 0.3

J×T3 · 0% win · 33% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	6	3	1	50%	92.0
2026	2	0	1	0%	90.1
2025	4	3	0	75%	92.0
SAR	1	0	0	0%	83.4
Turf	6	3	1	50%	92.0
Route	6	3	1	50%	92.0
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-18 FAI Four Furlongs 49.00 b 67

SIRECurlin 87 96%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 50d	SAR	9.0f	turf	Firm	G1	96	9	10	12.2		94	84	77	83	79	96	23.36	John Velazquez
2026-05-15 196d·4.6×	LRL	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	2	6	0.1	S	91	nan	90	90	87	96	1.4	John Velazquez
2025-10-31 34d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	G1	96	5	12	3.0	F	nan	nan	86	92	90	93	3.5	John Velazquez
2025-09-27 22d	LRL	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	90	1	8	0.0	S	nan	nan	61	90	82	91	1.5	Jorge Ruiz
2025-09-05 43d	LRL	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	86	1	6	0.0		96	87	84	90	84	88	2.1	Horacio Karamanos
2025-07-24	CNL	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	1	5	0.0	S	69	88	85	90	80	84	2.8	Jorge Ruiz